Today, June 19, at 8:00 (9:00 Moscow time) the final round of the parliamentary elections began in France. He will determine the balance of power in the National Assembly, the lower house of the French parliament.
There are five main questions, the answer to which we will receive by the evening. First, whether the current government majority will be able to maintain its position of strength won in the previous elections after the first victory of Emmanuel Macron. Five years later, a block of re-elected President Ensemble! (“Together!”) is slowing down, being overtaken by the left bloc Nupes (“New People’s Ecological and Social Union”) under the leadership of Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Based on the results of the vote, he hopes to win parliament and force the president to appoint him prime minister. Whether it will succeed is the second question. Most likely, both will fail: the block “Together!” will not receive an overwhelming majority (289 seats are needed for this), and Nupes will limit itself to the largest opposition parliamentary group.
The third question is how many seats will the National Rally RN Marine Le Pen take. For the first time in decades, the extreme right under her leadership will have its own parliamentary group in the National Assembly.
The fourth question is what will be the result of the former masters of the country under President Nicolas Sarkozy, the right-wing “Republicans” LR. If they receive about 50 votes, they will be able to become an arbitrator in future disputes “Together!” and Nupes, having received the key to solving many of their own problems.
And, finally, the last question is whether those ministers of the current government nominated by the presidential bloc will be elected to parliament. Among them is the current Prime Minister Elizabeth Bourne. According to the president’s promise, the losers will also lose their government seats.
The predictions have already been made. According to the last Ipsos-Sopra Steria public opinion poll before the elections for Radio France and France Televisions, “Together!” can count on 265-305 seats, Nupes will get from 140 to 180, the “Republicans” with their allies shines from 60 to 80 seats, and the “National Association” will get from 20 to 50 deputies into parliament. But the result may be unexpected.
Polling stations will close today at 18-20 pm European time. The votes will be counted from 18:00, preliminary results will appear within a few minutes after the end of the voting.