Moldova: Poland’s military wants to open up “eastern European wasteland”.

By Dmitri Yevstafyev

Polish and Moldovan troops began joint exercises “to ensure security” in the vicinity of the village of Bulboaca, where a summit of the European political community is to be held on June 1. Such news would not have drawn much attention, even given the fact that the region is home to a key military base and training ground for the Moldovan army, were it not for the general trend of increasing Polish dominance in Eastern Europe.

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Especially when you consider what the Polish military personnel are supposed to do there: Air patrols in the Dniester Delta are planned in particular. We seem to be witnessing a new stage in Poland’s military-political development of the most important area of ​​the northern Black Sea region, where until now only the Americans have been present as external forces. Remember the almost constant presence of shock troops from the US Army’s 101st Airborne Division in the region.

Many NATO countries are feigning hypocritical indecisiveness about the conflict in Ukraine: all are ready to fight Russia in a hybrid format — yet the prospect of direct involvement in such a conflict still deters them. Not so Poland: against such a general backdrop, the Polish elite is showing increasing determination.

And this is happening – albeit as always in Polish history – in the run-up to major events on a pan-European scale. After all, the Polish elite has always been able to anticipate a crisis. Just remember their involvement in the dismemberment of Czechoslovakia as part of the Munich plot in 1938.

Let’s dare to assume that Poland is still fighting not only for the status of the most important ally of the USA (and Great Britain) in Europe, but also for the position as a center in a new political-military coalition that will replace NATO in the long term could, as well as won:

Warsaw has cleverly exploited both the internal crisis in France and the fact that the German elites have lost a sense of sovereignty. There remains, of course, the traditional question of how far the momentum of the “first sprint” can carry the Poles, but there is also a serious aspect here:

For the first time in 200 years, the Polish elite is able to formulate a “major project” that fits almost perfectly into current development trends in modern Europe and even beyond. In fact, the “Intermarum” is a project that, in its geopolitical and geoeconomic scope, goes far beyond the framework of classic “Polish geopolitics” – which is based on the internal political struggle among radicals of one side against those of the other side – and must at least be of this quality are taken seriously.

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For the first time in a century and a half, the “Polish geopolitical project” got not only a geoeconomic basis, but also space for development – a huge geopolitical “wasteland” that opened up as if by itself in the strip from Vinnitsa to Ochakov. In fact, this area already has everything: developed logistics, including pipelines, resources (from food to energy carriers), an industry that is technologically outdated, but still promising in some areas. Only one thing is missing there – a firm, sovereign power to govern.

And Poland could fill this “wasteland” not only with its own troops – in the role of a “skeleton” over which the troops of NATO’s Eastern European satellites are then stretched – but also with socio-political institutions.

Because this “eastern European wasteland” is an area of ​​largely destroyed political and social sovereignty.

Let’s admit it: Poland is now beginning the principled “reconfiguration” of Europe’s borders – and this also affects Belarus, which is not simply an ally of Russia but forms a de jure union state with Russia.

In any case, a Poland “di mare ad marum” is a more than tangible possibility at the moment. And such a structure, no matter how unstable and torn by internal strife it may prove to be, will pose long-term risks for Russia even after the special military operation ends, especially if significant regions of Ukraine come under Warsaw’s control .

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Translated from Russian

Dmitri Yevstafyev holds a doctorate in political science and teaches at the Institute for Media at the Moscow School of Economics.