Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Washington Wizards predictions, odds, and choices

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    The Minnesota Timberwolves (11-10) visit Capital One Arena on Wednesday to take on the Washington Wizards (13-8) in the nation’s capital. The game will begin at 7 p.m. ET. We examine the Timberwolves vs. Wizards odds and lines below, as well as our NBA picks, predictions, and wagers.

    The Timberwolves have won seven of their previous eight games, including back-to-back triumphs against the 76ers and Pacers. The T-Wolves have a net rating of 9.0 and are 10-11 ATS and 8-13 O/U.

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    Washington has only won three of its last seven games, the most recent of which was a 116-99 thrashing at the hands of the San Antonio Spurs as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Wizards have a net rating of 15th and are 11-10 ATS and 8-13 O/U.

    Last season, the Wizards thrashed the Timberwolves by 21 and 16 points in both regular-season meetings, and the Over has cashed in seven straight Wizards-Timberwolves games.

    Odds, spreads, and lines for Timberwolves vs. Wizards
    Tipico Sportsbook provided the odds; for a complete list, visit USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds. At 10:40 a.m. ET, the lines were last updated.

    Timberwolves +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Wizards -180 (bet $180 to win $100) are the money lines.
    ATS (against the spread): Wizards -4.5 (-115) | Timberwolves +4.5 (-115) (-107)
    216.5 (O: -107 | U: -115) Over/Under (O/U)

    Timberwolves at Wizards key injuries

    Timberwolves

    SG Anthony Edwards (illness) questionable
    SF Jaden McDaniels (illness) questionable
    PF Jarred Vanderbilt (illness) questionable
    PG Patrick Beverly (groin) out
    Wizards

    C Thomas Bryant (knee) out
    PF Rui Hachimura (personal) out
    Timberwolves at Wizards odds, lines, picks and predictions
    Prediction
    Wizards 109, Timberwolves 102

    Money line

    Because this is on the edge of my price range for an NBA regular-season money line favorite, “LEAN” to the WIZARDS (-180). To be honest, I’m going to hold off on betting until I see how the market develops this line.

    At the time of publication, the majority of the market is betting Minnesota plus the points as well as Washington’s money line. I could see the Wizards’ money line dropping to -150 or perhaps lower if money continues to pour in on the T-Wolves.

    Against the spread, “LEAN” to the WIZARDS -4.5 (-107) because they are the better team, regardless of whether you choose to bet against Washington.

    There’s something to be said for fading the recency bias against the Timberwolves, who have been on a roll lately. According to the Yahoo! Sports App, Minnesota has over 85% of the action, while Washington has just been thrashed by a weak Spurs team.

    The Wizards, on the other hand, perform admirably against top-tier opposition. Minnesota boasts a top-10 efficiency differential, which may surprise some.

    Washington is 5-3 all-time against top-10 teams in efficiency differential, with a plus-3.0 ATS advantage. Last season, the Wizards ranked 10th in efficiency difference and third in ATS margin against top-10 opponents.

    Furthermore, Washington’s defense has a handful of advantages over Minnesota’s defense in terms of strength-on-weakness.

    According to ShotQuality.com, the T-Wolves attempt the second-most catch-and-shoot 3-pointers in the NBA, and they get out in transition at the ninth-highest rate.

    Washington’s defense ranks third in shot quality versus catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and fourth in transition offense efficiency.

    Because of the aforementioned methods Washington could impede Minnesota’s attack, the Over/Under is “LEAN” to the UNDER 216.5 (-115).

    The T-Wolves have the second-best defensive 3-point % in the league, while the Wizards are 26th. In terms of defensive effective field goal shooting, both teams are in the top eight.

    Plus, according to the Yahoo! Sports App, the vast majority of the market is betting the Over, owing to the fact that seven straight Wizards-Timberwolves games have gone over the total. With the UNDER 216.6, there are “fade the market” and “buck the head-to-head trend” approaches (-115).

    Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Washington Wizards (7 p.m. ET)

    Timberwolves Projected Lineup
    PG – D’Angelo Russell
    SG – Josh Okogie
    SF – Anthony Edwards
    PF – Jarred Vanderbilt
    C – Karl-Anthony Towns

    Injury news: Jarred Vanderbilt (Illness), Jaylen Nowell (Illness), and Anthony Edwards (Illness) are available; Jaden McDaniels (Illness) and Patrick Beverley (Adductor) are out

    Wizards Projected Lineup
    PG – Spencer Dinwiddie
    SG – Bradley Beal
    SF – Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
    PF – Kyle Kuzma
    C – Montrezl Harrell

    Injury news: Davis Bertans (Ankle) is probable; Aaron Holiday (Illness) is out

    Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers (7 p.m. ET)

    Hawks Projected Lineup
    PG – Trae Young
    SG – Kevin Huerter
    SF – Cam Reddish
    PF – John Collins
    C – Clint Capela

    Injury news: Cam Reddish (Wrist) and Bogdan Bogdanovic (Ankle) are out

    Pacers Projected Lineup
    PG – Malcolm Brogdon
    SG – Caris LeVert
    SF – Chris Duarte
    PF – Domantas Sabonis
    C – Myles Turner

    Injury news: Myles Turner (Illness) is available Justin Holiday (COVID Protocols) is out

    Denver Nuggets vs. Orlando Magic (7 p.m. ET)

    Nuggets Projected Lineup
    PG – Monte Morris
    SG – Will Barton
    SF – Jeff Green
    PF – Aaron Gordon
    C – Nikola Jokic

    Injury news: Will Barton (Back) is probable; JaMychal Green (Elbow) and Zeke Nnaji (Ankle) are questionable; Austin Rivers (COVID Protocols) and Bones Hyland (COVID Protocols) are out

    Magic Projected Lineup
    PG – Cole Anthony
    SG – Gary Harris
    SF – Franz Wagner
    PF – Wendell Carter Jr.
    C – Mo Bamba

    Injury news: Jalen Suggs (Thumb) is out

    Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics (7:30 p.m. ET)

    76ers Projected Lineup
    PG – Tyrese Maxey
    SG – Seth Curry
    SF – Tobias Harris
    PF – Shake Milton
    C – Joel Embiid

    Injury news: Nothing new

    Celtics Projected Lineup
    PG – Marcus Smart
    SG – Jaylen Brown
    SF – Jayson Tatum
    PF – Al Horford
    C – Robert Williams

    Injury news: Jaylen Brown (Injury management) is available

    Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat (7:30 p.m. ET)

    Cavaliers Projected Lineup
    PG – Darius Garland
    SG – Evan Mobley
    SF – Isaac Okoro
    PF – Lauri Markkanen
    C – Jarrett Allen

    Injury news: Cedi Osman (Back) and Dean Wade (Calf) is out

    Heat Projected Lineup
    PG – Kyle Lowry
    SG – Tyler Herro
    SF – Duncan Robinson
    PF – PJ Tucker
    C – Dewayne Dedmon

    Injury news: Dewayne Dedmon (Knee) and Tyler Herro (Soreness) are available; Jimmy Butler (Back) and Bam Adebayo (Thumb) are out

    Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (8 p.m. ET)

    Rockets Projected Lineup
    PG – Kevin Porter Jr.
    SG – Eric Gordon
    SF – Garrison Matthews
    PF – Jae’Sean Tate
    C – Christian Wood

    Injury news: DJ Augustin (COVID Protocols) and Jalen Green (Hamstring) are out

    Thunder Projected Lineup
    PG – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    SG – Tre Mann
    SF – Lu Dort
    PF – Darius Bazley
    C – Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

    Injury news: Josh Giddey out Wednesday due to a non-COVID illness, Derrick Favors (Illness) Kenrich Williams (Ankle) and Mike Muscala (Ankle) are out

    Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans (8 p.m. ET)

    Mavericks Projected Lineup
    PG – Luka Doncic
    SG – Dorian Finney-Smith
    SF – Tim Hardaway Jr.
    PF – Kristaps Porzingis
    C – Dwight Powell

    Injury news: Maxi Kleber (Oblique) and Kristaps Porzingis (Ankle) are probable; Willie Cauley-Stein (Personal) and Frank Ntilikina (Calf) are out

    Pelicans Projected Lineup
    PG – Devonte’ Graham
    SG – Nickeil Alexander-Walker
    SF – Brandon Ingram
    PF – Herb Jones
    C – Jonas Valanciunas

    Injury news: Josh Hart (Knee) is questionable

    Charlotte Hornets vs. Milwaukee Bucks (8 p.m. ET)

    Hornets Projected Lineup
    PG – Terry Rozier
    SG – LaMelo Ball
    SF – Gordon Hayward
    PF – Miles Bridges
    C – PJ Washington

    Injury news: Cody Martin (Illness) is questionable; Mason Plumlee (Calf) is out

    Bucks Projected Lineup
    PG – Jrue Holiday
    SG – Grayson Allen
    SF – Khris Middleton
    PF – Giannis Antetokounmpo
    C – Bobby Portis

    Injury news: Jordan Nwora (Knee) is probable; Brook Lopez (Back) is out

    Sacramento Kings vs. Los Angeles Clippers (10:30 p.m. ET)

    Kings Projected Lineup
    PG – De’Aaron Fox
    SG – Tyrese Haliburton
    SF – Robert Woodard
    PF – Richaun Holmes
    C – Chimezie Metu

    Injury news: Maurice Harkless (Knee) is questionable; Harrison Barnes (Foot) and Marvin Bagley (Illness) are out

    Clippers Projected Lineup
    PG – Reggie Jackson
    SG – Eric Bledsoe
    SF – Terance Mann
    PF – Marcus Morris
    C – Ivica Zubac

    Injury news: Paul George (Rest) and Nicolas Batum (Illness) are out

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