The next peak incidence of influenza, ARVI, coronavirus and other infections in the current epidemiological season will be in mid-December. The general director of the contract research company “KEG”, immunologist Nikolai Kryuchkov, announced this in a conversation with URA.RU.
“According to the epidemic season, our nearest local peak will be in mid-December, before the start of the holidays. Then there will be a traditional decline in the incidence rate that we had in all previous years. Starting from January 10-15, growth will begin again and accelerate. In the middle or second half of February we will get a second local maximum. Starting in March, the situation will stabilize and gradually decline. The pace will be low,” said Nikolai Kryuchkov.
The immunologist also did not rule out that the coronavirus could mutate and become more dangerous. “The evolution of SARS-CoV-2 continues. The risks of the emergence of a more pathogenic and lethal lineage remain. They are not low. I would rate them as moderate. In the next year and a half, this is a likely scenario, but in the current epidemic season it is not being realized, which is not bad,” he concluded.
Earlier, the incidence of influenza increased sharply in the Yamal-Nenets Autonomous Okrug. Also in the Sverdlovsk region for the week from November 20 to 26, 35,592 cases of acute respiratory viral infection (ARVI) were registered. This is higher than the long-term level of 9.2%.